MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chase Shugart wins 2 (ERA, W); Matt Festa wins 2 (K, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
Matt Festa
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
9.5%
Matt Festa
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
27.2%
Matt Festa
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.8%
Matt Festa
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
39.0%
Matt Festa
40.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
11.7%
Matt Festa
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.336
Matt Festa
.327
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
25.62
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.70
Matt Festa
25.62
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9001.36
now 0.93
1.24
Matt Festa
.9001.36
now 1.24
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4032.60
now 20
19
Matt Festa
4032.60
now 27
24
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0004.20
now 2
13
Matt Festa
.0004.20
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0003.40
now 0
0
Matt Festa
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.50
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