Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryJovani
34K →54
3.70ERA →3.62
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–6W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryJovani
20K →35
2.33ERA ←3.19
0.93WHIP ←1.06
2W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
Jovani Morán
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.94)
Chase Shugart: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Jovani Morán: 54 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).