MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Eric Orze
Eric Orze
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Eric Orze.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA. Chase Shugart’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Eric Orze wins 1 categories (ERA); Chase Shugart wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
Eric Orze
92.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
9.4%
Eric Orze
9.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
26.5%
Eric Orze
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.7%
Eric Orze
28.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
33.6%
Eric Orze
29.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
10.0%
Eric Orze
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.300
Eric Orze
.313
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
24.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.75
Eric Orze
24.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.95
3.73
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9001.57
now 0.93
1.26
Eric Orze
.9001.57
now 1.39
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4035
now 20
0
Eric Orze
4035
now 25
0
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Eric Orze
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyChase Shugart — buy.conf 0.70
Buy LowEric Orze — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Tweet