Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryEric
34K →38
3.70ERA3.69
1.24WHIP ←1.26
2–6W ←2–5
0SV →1–3
Current Season
ChaseCategoryEric
20K →25
2.33ERA ←3.95
0.93WHIP ←1.39
2W2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
Eric Orze
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.53)
Chase Shugart: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Eric Orze: 38 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).