MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 16, 2026
Portrait of A.J. Minter
A.J. Minter
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

A.J. Minter wins 1 (K); Chase Shugart wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
A.J. Minter
92.9
Chase Shugart
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
A.J. Minter
13.9%
Chase Shugart
9.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
A.J. Minter
23.3%
Chase Shugart
27.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
A.J. Minter
34.4%
Chase Shugart
25.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
A.J. Minter
36.4%
Chase Shugart
39.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
A.J. Minter
9.1%
Chase Shugart
11.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
A.J. Minter
.263
Chase Shugart
.336
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
A.J. Minter
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Chase Shugart
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.70
WHIPlower is better
A.J. Minter
.9001.39
now 0.86
1.24
Chase Shugart
.9001.39
now 0.93
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
A.J. Minter
4054
now 5
40
Chase Shugart
4054
now 20
20
Winshigher is better
A.J. Minter
.0005.60
now 0
00
Chase Shugart
.0005.60
now 2
14

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighA.J. Minter — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.50
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