MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chase Shugart wins 2 (WHIP, W); Lake Bachar wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
Lake Bachar
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
9.5%
Lake Bachar
15.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
27.2%
Lake Bachar
27.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
25.8%
Lake Bachar
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
39.0%
Lake Bachar
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
11.7%
Lake Bachar
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.336
Lake Bachar
.278
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
24.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.70
Lake Bachar
24.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
3.16
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9001.41
now 0.93
1.24
Lake Bachar
.9001.41
now 1.01
1.27

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4037.60
now 20
19
Lake Bachar
4037.60
now 32
27
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0004.20
now 2
13
Lake Bachar
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLake Bachar — buy.conf 0.88
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