MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of Gabe Speier
Gabe Speier
SEA · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Gabe Speier.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA. Matt Festa’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Gabe Speier wins 1 categories (ERA); Matt Festa wins 0 (none); 4 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gabe Speier
95.3
Matt Festa
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
12.2%
Matt Festa
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
21.5%
Matt Festa
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
31.2%
Matt Festa
30.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
37.0%
Matt Festa
40.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
11.1%
Matt Festa
9.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gabe Speier
.302
Matt Festa
.316
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gabe Speier
25.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
Matt Festa
25.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.72
WHIPlower is better
Gabe Speier
1.171.37
now 1.30
1.24
Matt Festa
1.171.37
now 1.24
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gabe Speier
4032.60
now 16
18
Matt Festa
4032.60
now 27
18
Winshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.0001.48
now 1
11
Matt Festa
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.0003.40
now 1
02
Matt Festa
.0003.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGabe Speier — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.50
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