MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Cooper Criswell
week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Cooper Criswell

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.81); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.25ERA 3.71W 0–0SV 0–0

Criswell is a hold — nothing here is pulling either way.

ROS projects K 19 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 1.10 YTD → 1.25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Walk %9.3%—+2.4% ▲vs his ~6.9% career norm
  • Strikeout %18.0%—+1.1% ▲vs his ~16.9% career norm

Drivers

  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.81)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed37.9%
37.9%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
124 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.8%
4.8%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
124 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.301
.301*
lg avg .315 ▼−.014vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
172 / 200 TBF
xERA3.81
3.81*
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.29vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
172 / 200 TBF
ERA3.32
3.32*
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.78vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
40.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %18.0%
norm18.0%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.0%vs his norm +1.1% ▲
172 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.3%
normbelievable since Sep 289.3%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm +2.4% ▲
172 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.319
.319*
lg avg .295 ▲+.024vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
124 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.8%
9.8%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
172 / 60 TBF
Chase %34.8%
34.8%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.3%vs his norm —
172 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo90.6 mph
90.6 mph*
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−3.4 mphvs his norm —
642 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
K% 18.0%→17.4%signal0 K — K% 18.0% (signal) tempered to career ~16.9% → projected 17.4% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.81noise3.71 ERA — xERA 3.81 (noise) blended 6% skill / 94% league 3.70 at 26 IP.
BB% 9.3% + contactsignal1.25 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.299 gives a 1.49 skill WHIP, blended 6%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-0 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.71 ERA, 1.25 WHIP

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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