Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryWill
40K ←39
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←1–3
0SV →1–3
Current Season
LukeCategoryWill
25K ←20
2.77ERA ←7.23
1.04WHIP ←1.45
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Weaver
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.12 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Will Vest
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Luke Weaver: 40 K / 3.67 ERA. Will Vest: 39 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).