125 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last week—
Davis Schneider
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 34% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.265); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .158R 17RBI 10SB 1
Schneider is a hold — league-neighbor skill, no edge.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .123 YTD → .158 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %10.9%—−2.6% ▼vs his ~13.5% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.265)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.7 mphvs his norm —
64 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %45.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.3%vs his norm —
64 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.9%vs his norm −2.6% ▼
64 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.265
lg avg .315 ▼−.050vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
125 / 160 PA
wOBA.257
lg avg .315 ▼−.058vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
125 / 200 PA
Strikeout %33.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+11.6%vs his norm —
125 / 60 PA
Walk %15.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+6.7%vs his norm —
125 / 120 PA
BABIP.200
lg avg .295 ▼−.095vs his norm −.080 ▼BABIP is below his ~.280 norm — expect it to rise.
64 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —
125 / 50 PA
Chase %21.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−7.4%vs his norm —
125 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 10.9%→12.9%signal3 HR — Barrel% 10.9% (signal) lifted to career ~13.5% → projected 12.9%.
BABIP 0.200→0.228 regressednoise.158 AVG — BABIP 0.200 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.151) → 0.228.
on-base + lineup17 R — his run rate over ~118 projected PA.
slugging + lineup10 RBI — his RBI rate over ~118 projected PA.
run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (1 in 39 G) over ~118 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.