89 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Davis Schneider
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 35% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.276); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 6AVG .157R 33RBI 20SB 3
Schneider is a hold — league average skill, high K caps the ceiling.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 6 ROS, AVG .123 YTD → .157 ROS, R 13 YTD → 33 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.276)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.3 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
41 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is above the ~40.0% league average — expect it to fall.
41 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm −3.7% ▼Barrel % is below his ~13.5% norm — expect it to rise.
41 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.276
lg avg .315 ▼−.039vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
89 / 160 PA
wOBA.253
lg avg .315 ▼−.062vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
89 / 200 PA
Strikeout %34.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+12.8%vs his norm —
89 / 60 PA
Walk %19.1%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+10.6%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
89 / 120 PA
BABIP.205
lg avg .295 ▼−.090vs his norm −.075 ▼BABIP is below his ~.280 norm — expect it to rise.
41 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.8%→12.9%noise6 HR — Barrel% 9.8% (noise) lifted to career ~13.5% → projected 12.9%.
BABIP 0.205→0.229 regressednoise.157 AVG — BABIP 0.205 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.155) → 0.229.
on-base + lineup33 R — his run rate over ~228 projected PA.
slugging + lineup20 RBI — his RBI rate over ~228 projected PA.
run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (1 in 39 G) over ~228 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.