week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Garrett Cleavinger
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.41); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 24ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 1–2SV 1–3
Cleavinger is a hold — league average, no edge either way.
ROS projects K 17 YTD → 24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %32.5%—+2.5% ▲vs his ~30.1% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.41)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed39.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —
66 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —
66 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.288
lg avg .315 ▼−.027vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
117 / 200 TBF
xERA3.41
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.69vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
117 / 200 TBF
ERA3.58
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.52vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
27.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %32.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+10.5%vs his norm +2.5% ▲
117 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.3%vs his norm +0.1% ▲Walk % is above his ~10.2% norm — expect it to fall.
117 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.333
lg avg .295 ▲+.038vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
66 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —
117 / 60 TBF
Chase %35.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.6%vs his norm —
117 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.7 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.7 mphvs his norm —
465 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 32.5%→31.0%signal24 K — K% 32.5% (signal) tempered to career ~30.1% → projected 31.0% over ~18 remaining…
xERA 3.41noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.41 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 12 IP.
BB% 10.3% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.26 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role1-2 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)1-3 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.