MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Wade Meckler
337 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL

Wade Meckler

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.314) — BABIP 0.372 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Meckler is a hold — average skill, average outcome, nothing unstable

His expected wOBA is .314, which is as close to the league average of .315 as a number gets, and he has enough plate appearances for it to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .341, a little higher, but the gap is explained by a BABIP of .372. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable and he has 239, so that part of his line is luck and will come down. The contact quality is below league — 86.9 mph average exit velocity, 33.5% hard-hit, and a 2.9% barrel rate — so there is no hidden power source waiting to break out. He makes up some ground by striking out less than league average, but it stops there. Limited data: no career baseline or trend to lean on yet. There is no edge to buy and no flaw that forces a sell. Hold. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line leaves Meckler deep-league filler only — hold is just a soft drop.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.314)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.372 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.9 mph
believable since Jun 1686.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.1 mphvs his norm —
239 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %33.5%
33.5%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.5%vs his norm —
239 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.9%
2.9%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.1%vs his norm —
239 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.314
.314*
lg avg .315 ▼−.001vs his norm —
337 / 160 PA
wOBA.341
.341*
lg avg .315 ▲+.026vs his norm —
337 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.7%
18.7%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.3%vs his norm —
337 / 60 PA
Walk %9.5%
9.5%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
337 / 120 PA
BABIP.372
.372*
lg avg .295 ▲+.077vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
239 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.2%
9.2%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
337 / 50 PA
Chase %23.1%
23.1%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−5.4%vs his norm —
337 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.9%→3.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.9% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 3.9%.
BABIP 0.372→0.281 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.372 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.242 (xBA 0.263) → 0.281.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 10 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups