MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Wade Meckler
273 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL

Wade Meckler

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.315) — BABIP 0.371 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .238R 3RBI 9SB 2

Meckler is a hold — league-average skill, no edge either way.

His expected wOBA is .315, and the league average is .315 — the skill number is sitting exactly on the line with 273 plate appearances behind it, past the 160 needed to trust it. The .342 actual wOBA looks better than that, but the gap is his BABIP of .371, which is 76 points above league average and not reliable yet. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to stabilize and he has 191, so some of that average will come back down. His contact quality is below league across the board: 86.8 mph average exit velocity, 33.5% hard-hit, 3.1% barrels. His strikeout and walk rates are both fine. Limited data here — no baseline or trajectory to lean on yet. Hold. The ROS line is just 0 HR / 3 R / 9 RBI / 2 SB / .238 AVG — the tax on a drop-tier hold is counting stats that never arrive.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.315)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.371 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.8 mph
believable since Jun 1686.8 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −2.2 mphvs his norm —
191 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %33.5%
33.5%*
lg avg 40.0% −6.5%vs his norm —
191 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.1%
3.1%*
lg avg 8.0% −4.9%vs his norm —
191 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.315
.315*
lg avg .315 .000vs his norm —
273 / 160 PA
wOBA.342
.342*
lg avg .315 +.027vs his norm —
273 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.4%
19.4%*
lg avg 22.0% −2.6%vs his norm —
273 / 60 PA
Walk %9.9%
9.9%*
lg avg 8.5% +1.4%vs his norm —
273 / 120 PA
BABIP.371
.371*
lg avg .295 +.076vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league averageexpect it to fall.
191 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.7%
9.7%*
lg avg 11.0% −1.3%vs his norm —
273 / 50 PA
Chase %23.2%
23.2%*
lg avg 28.5% −5.3%vs his norm —
273 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.1%→4.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.1% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 4.1%.
BABIP 0.371→0.271 regressednoise.238 AVG — BABIP 0.371 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.240 (xBA 0.261) → 0.271.
on-base + lineup3 R — his run rate over ~31 projected PA.
slugging + lineup9 RBI — his RBI rate over ~31 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (2 in 10 G) over ~31 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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