141 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Wade Meckler
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.324); BABIP 0.394 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .236R 14RBI 36SB 9
Meckler is a hold — limited data, near-league skill, no action needed.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 2 ROS, AVG .286 YTD → .236 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.324)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.394 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.3 mphvs his norm —
96 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %32.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.7%vs his norm —
96 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.8%vs his norm —
96 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.324
lg avg .315 ▲+.009vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
141 / 160 PA
wOBA.353
lg avg .315 ▲+.038vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
141 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.0%
lg avg 22.0% 0.0%vs his norm —
141 / 60 PA
Walk %9.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.4%vs his norm —
141 / 120 PA
BABIP.394
lg avg .295 ▲+.099vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
96 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.3%vs his norm —
141 / 50 PA
Chase %27.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
141 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.2%→5.8%signal2 HR — Barrel% 5.2% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 5.8%.
BABIP 0.394→0.262 regressednoise.236 AVG — BABIP 0.394 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.244 (xBA 0.264) → 0.262.
on-base + lineup14 R — his run rate over ~131 projected PA.
slugging + lineup36 RBI — his RBI rate over ~131 projected PA.
run rate / role9 SB — his steal rate (2 in 10 G) over ~131 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.