451 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Ryan O'Hearn
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.314); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
O'Hearn is a hold — league average, nothing unstable in the numbers.
ROS projects HR 8 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .294 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %6.8%—−1.2% ▼vs his ~8.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.314)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.1 mphvs his norm —
311 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %42.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.1%vs his norm —
311 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm −1.2% ▼
311 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.314
lg avg .315 ▼−.001vs his norm —
451 / 160 PA
wOBA.336
lg avg .315 ▲+.021vs his norm —
451 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.0%
lg avg 22.0% 0.0%vs his norm —
451 / 60 PA
Walk %7.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
451 / 120 PA
BABIP.307
lg avg .295 ▲+.012vs his norm −.011 ▼BABIP is below his ~.318 norm — expect it to rise.
311 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.5%vs his norm —
451 / 50 PA
Chase %31.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
451 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.8%→7.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.8% (signal) lifted to career ~8.0% → projected 7.3%.
BABIP 0.307→0.278 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.307 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.259 (xBA 0.247) → 0.278.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 45 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.