186 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last week—
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Ryan O'Hearn
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
O'Hearn is a buy — his contact quality is real.
His hard-hit rate has stepped up across the sample and is now at 44.6%, above the league average of 40%. With 130 batted balls, that number is reliable. His expected wOBA sits at .359, 44 points above league average, and is also stable at 186 plate appearances. His actual and expected wOBAs track closely, so there is no luck inflating his line. His strikeout and walk rates are both better than league, supporting a solid floor. The bat is performing and the underlying metrics confirm it.
Buy
med0.69
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.359, +0.044 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.3 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL130 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %44.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+4.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL130 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL130 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.359
lg avg .315 ▲+.044trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL186 / 160 PA
wOBA.373
lg avg .315 ▲+.058too early to trust
NOISE186 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL186 / 60 PA
Walk %10.2%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL186 / 120 PA
BABIP.328
lg avg .295 ▲+.033too early to trust
NOISE130 / 800 BIP