Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryRyan
14HR ←10
41R →51
33RBI →54
16SB ←2
.242AVG →.263
Current Season
JacksonCategoryRyan
5HR →8
26R →28
21RBI →30
10SB ←1
.209AVG →.294
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Merrill
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.260 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Ryan O'Hearn
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.358, +0.043 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jackson Merrill: 14 HR / 41 R. Ryan O'Hearn: 10 HR / 51 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).