118 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Esteury Ruiz
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 28% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.318); BABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .182R 28RBI 13SB 20
Ruiz is a hold — league average, but the K rate is rising.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .178 YTD → .182 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %7.8%—+4.5% ▲vs his ~3.3% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.318)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.1 mphvs his norm —
64 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %29.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.3%vs his norm —
64 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm +4.5% ▲
64 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.318
lg avg .315 ▲+.003vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
118 / 160 PA
wOBA.366
lg avg .315 ▲+.051vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
118 / 200 PA
Strikeout %28.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.0%vs his norm —
118 / 60 PA
Walk %12.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
118 / 120 PA
BABIP.317
lg avg .295 ▲+.022vs his norm +.009 ▲BABIP is above his ~.308 norm — expect it to fall.
64 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.8%vs his norm —
118 / 50 PA
Chase %30.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.4%vs his norm —
118 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.8%→4.4%signal1 HR — Barrel% 7.8% (signal) tempered to career ~3.3% → projected 4.4%.
BABIP 0.317→0.267 regressednoise.182 AVG — BABIP 0.317 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.263 (xBA 0.210) → 0.267.
on-base + lineup28 R — his run rate over ~123 projected PA.
slugging + lineup13 RBI — his RBI rate over ~123 projected PA.
run rate / role20 SB — his steal rate (8 in 27 G) over ~123 projected PA.
rosterdeep28 SB
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.