MIA

97.9 mph fastball, 28.6% Ks, xERA 3.39 — real stuff.

96.3 mph heat, 3.65 xERA — walk rate is the lone flaw.

51% hard-hit and 15% barrels outweigh 29% strikeouts

Barrels 13.9% and 47.7% hard-hit — contact carries the .355 xwOBA.

56% hard-hit, 32% Ks — power worth the whiffs

5.44 ERA hides a 3.84 xERA — 1.6 runs of bad luck

95.4 mph fastball, 25.5% Ks, .330 BABIP masks a 3.49 xERA

2.68 ERA flatters a 3.86 xERA by 1.18 runs.

15.8% strikeout rate can't hold a 3.18 ERA.

3.51 ERA hides 4.59 xERA and 18.9% strikeout rate.

32% strikeouts and 85 mph contact won't hold a .340 wOBA

2.2% barrels: contact skills, zero thump

Sub-20% K rate, 4.69 xERA says the 4.23 is flattered

3.7% barrels — no power behind a .272 xwOBA

Strikeouts 25.7% with soft 88.4 mph contact and no luck.

37.9% strikeout rate buries 13.5% barrel upside.