week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jack Ralston
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.57); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Ralston is a hold — average skill, nothing unstable underneath
ROS projects K 2 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.57)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed39.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.4%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % Allowed is below the ~40.0% league average — expect it to rise.
48 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed14.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+6.6%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
48 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.327
lg avg .315 ▲+.012vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
77 / 200 TBF
xERA4.57
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.47vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
77 / 200 TBF
ERA5.71
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.61vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
17.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %24.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm —
77 / 70 TBF
Walk %11.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
77 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.238
lg avg .295 ▼−.057vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
48 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %6.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−4.3%vs his norm —
77 / 60 TBF
Chase %19.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−9.3%vs his norm —
77 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.6 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.4 mphvs his norm —
311 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 24.7%→24.6%signal0 K — K% 24.7% (signal) tempered to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 24.6% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.57noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.57 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 3 IP.
BB% 11.7% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 12% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.292 gives a 1.44 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.