MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
247 PA · week 27
this weekSELL
last weekSELL

Agustín Ramírez

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Sell stable xwOBA 0.287 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.61
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Ramírez is a sell — his expected wOBA is below league.

His expected wOBA is .287 against a league average of .315, and he has 247 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .307, close to the expected figure, so the line is not being dragged down by bad luck on balls in play. There is no cold surface to buy back. His barrel rate is 4.4%, barely half the league average of 8.0%, and that is the reason the skill sits below league: he is not hitting the ball hard enough to produce. His xwOBA has stepped down across the sample, so the trend is not moving in his favor. The bat is what the numbers say it is. Sell. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG ROS makes him a drop — waiver-wire fodder, streaming-only at best.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.4%—−6.6% ▼vs his ~11.0% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.287 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.2 mph
90.2 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.2 mphvs his norm —
160 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %41.9%
41.9%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —
160 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.4%
norm4.4%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm −6.6% ▼
160 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.287
.287*
lg avg .315 ▼−.028vs his norm —
247 / 160 PA
wOBA.307
.307*
lg avg .315 ▼−.008vs his norm —
247 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.9%
23.9%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —
247 / 60 PA
Walk %10.5%
10.5%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —
247 / 120 PA
BABIP.303
norm.303*
lg avg .295 ▲+.008vs his norm +.050 ▲BABIP is above his ~.253 norm — expect it to fall.
160 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.5%
14.5%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —
247 / 50 PA
Chase %29.1%
29.1%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
247 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.4%→8.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.4% (signal) lifted to career ~11.0% → projected 8.1%.
BABIP 0.303→0.281 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.303 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.275 (xBA 0.227) → 0.281.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (3 in 32 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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