61 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Brian Navarreto
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 34% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.172); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Navarreto is a hold — big swing, big whiffs, no edge either way
ROS projects AVG .000 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.172)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo84.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−4.4 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
36 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %22.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−17.8%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is below the ~40.0% league average — expect it to rise.
36 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.4%vs his norm —Barrel % is below the ~8.0% league average — expect it to rise.
36 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.172
lg avg .315 ▼−.143vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
61 / 160 PA
wOBA.199
lg avg .315 ▼−.116vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
61 / 200 PA
Strikeout %34.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+12.4%vs his norm —
61 / 60 PA
Walk %3.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.2%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
61 / 120 PA
BABIP.194
lg avg .295 ▼−.101vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
36 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %17.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+6.5%vs his norm —
61 / 50 PA
Chase %39.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+10.9%vs his norm —
61 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.6%→6.1%noise0 HR — Barrel% 5.6% (noise) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 6.1%.
BABIP 0.194→0.228 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.194 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.124) → 0.228.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.