week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Max Meyer
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Meyer a sell-high — xERA reveals the luck behind the ERA.
Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.
Sell High
high0.95
Drivers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.89 is 0.92 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed42.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL174 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL174 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.312
lg avg .315 ▼−.003trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL277 / 200 TBF
xERA3.89
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.21trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL277 / 200 TBF
ERA2.97
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.13too early to trust
NOISE66.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %26.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL277 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL277 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.256
lg avg .295 ▼−.039too early to trust
NOISE174 / 800 BIP