week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Dax Fulton
data as of September 29, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.73); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Fulton is a hold — league average, nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects K 5 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.73)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed41.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —
77 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.8%vs his norm —
77 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.298
lg avg .315 ▼−.017vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
122 / 200 TBF
xERA3.73
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.37vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
122 / 200 TBF
ERA3.77
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.33vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
28.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
122 / 70 TBF
Walk %12.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.3%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
122 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.289
lg avg .295 ▼−.006vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
77 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.7%vs his norm —
122 / 60 TBF
Chase %27.8%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
122 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo95.2 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.2 mphvs his norm —
479 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.8%→23.8%signal0 K — K% 23.8% (signal) held to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 23.8% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.73noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.73 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 6 IP.
BB% 12.3% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 12% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.49 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.