Tyler Phillips
Phillips is a sell — stable skill below league, no excuses.
His expected ERA is 4.83, which is 0.73 runs above the league average of 4.10, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. His xERA has been stepping up across the sample, not down. His strikeout rate is 17.3% — nearly five points below league — and his walk rate is 10.8%, nearly three points above league. That combination means he is allowing too much contact and too many free passes. His BABIP-against does not explain the gap, because it is near league average — there is no luck story to fall back on. He is throwing his fastball at 96.3 mph, but the velo is not translating into whiffs or weak contact. This is the level he is at. Sell. 27 K, 4.43 ERA, 1.43 WHIP — a drop; the expected numbers say this is who he is.
VS His Norm
- Walk %10.8%—+3.0% ▲vs his ~7.8% career norm
- Strikeout %17.3%—−0.4% ▼vs his ~17.7% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.83 +0.73 vs league with no luck excuse
5×5 ROS Outlook
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