Rest of Season Projection
AJCategoryTyler
40K →46
3.82ERA →3.68
1.29WHIP1.29
1–4W ←0–0
0SV →1–5
Current Season
AJCategoryTyler
28K →33
4.42ERA →1.63
1.31WHIP →1.27
2W ←0
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
AJ Blubaugh
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.50)
Tyler Phillips
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.58 is 1.95 above the ERA — regression coming
Blubaugh projects 3.82 ERA / 40 K vs Phillips 3.68 / 46 K — narrow margins across shared categories. Both surface lines are similar; the sell verdict on Phillips signals expected regression.