Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryTyler
26K →41
3.79ERA →3.65
1.26WHIP ←1.42
0–0W0–0
0SV →1–5
Current Season
JustinCategoryTyler
18K →33
4.61ERA →1.63
1.46WHIP →1.27
0W0
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Bruihl
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.06)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tyler Phillips
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.270 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.65 is 1.79 above the ERA — regression coming
Justin Bruihl: 26 K / 3.79 ERA. Tyler Phillips: 41 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).