week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Calvin Faucher
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.55); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 23WHIP 1.25ERA 3.72W 2–6SV 0–2
Faucher is a hold — roughly league average, no edge either way.
ROS projects K 24 YTD → 23 ROS, WHIP 1.73 YTD → 1.25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %15.1%—+3.9% ▲vs his ~11.2% career norm
- Strikeout %22.3%—−1.3% ▼vs his ~23.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.55)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed43.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.1%vs his norm —
109 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.5%vs his norm —
109 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.329
lg avg .315 ▲+.014vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
179 / 200 TBF
xERA4.55
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.45vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
179 / 200 TBF
ERA4.31
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.21vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
39.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.3%vs his norm −1.3% ▼
179 / 70 TBF
Walk %15.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+7.1%vs his norm +3.9% ▲
179 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.315
lg avg .295 ▲+.020vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
109 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm —
179 / 60 TBF
Chase %25.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.9%vs his norm —
179 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.6 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.6 mphvs his norm —
695 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.3%→23.0%signal23 K — K% 22.3% (signal) lifted to career ~23.6% → projected 23.0% over ~21 remaining IP.
xERA 4.55noise3.72 ERA — xERA 4.55 (noise) blended 2% skill / 98% league 3.70 at 22 IP.
BB% 15.1% + contactsignal1.25 WHIP — a 15% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.67 skill WHIP, blended 2…
run support + role2-6 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-2 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.72 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.