Is Griffin Conine a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Griffin Conine's rest-of-season outlook?

15.3% barrels fuel .363 xwOBA despite 29.5% K rate

315 PA · week 27

this weekBUY

last weekBUY

Griffin Conine

MIA·RF

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27

Buy stable xwOBA 0.363, +0.048 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; strikeout rate 30% is stable and high, caps the floor — BABIP 0.327 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.med 0.70

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Conine is a buy — the contact is real, the average has some give.

His hard-hit rate has stepped up across the sample and now sits at 48.6%, well above the league average of 40.0%, on 183 batted balls — past the point where contact quality becomes reliable. The expected wOBA tells the same story: .363 against a league average of .315, and his actual wOBA of .366 tracks it almost exactly, so the production is earned, not a product of bounces. At 315 plate appearances, that number is stable. The caveat sits in his BABIP of .327 against a .295 league average. BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable and he has 183, so some of that average will give back. He strikes out 29.5% of the time, which caps how far the batting average can climb, but it doesn't touch the skill underneath. Buy.

VS His Norm

Barrel %15.3%—+4.2% ▲vs his ~11.1% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.363, +0.048 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo90.9 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.9 mphvs his norm —

183 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %48.6%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.6%vs his norm —

183 / 50 BBE

Barrel %15.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+7.3%vs his norm +4.2% ▲

183 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.363

lg avg .315 ▲+.048vs his norm —

315 / 160 PA

wOBA.366

lg avg .315 ▲+.051vs his norm —

315 / 200 PA

Strikeout %29.5%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+7.5%vs his norm —

315 / 60 PA

Walk %10.8%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.3%vs his norm —

315 / 120 PA

BABIP.327

lg avg .295 ▲+.032vs his norm −.032 ▼BABIP is below his ~.359 norm — expect it to rise.

183 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %18.3%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+7.3%vs his norm —

315 / 50 PA

Chase %33.4%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.9%vs his norm —

315 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 15.3%→13.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 15.3% (signal) tempered to career ~11.1% → projected 13.1%.

BABIP 0.327→0.263 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.327 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.244 (xBA 0.254) → 0.263.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 11 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons