119 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Griffin Conine
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 30% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.381); BABIP 0.328 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .231R 25RBI 16SB 8
Conine is a hold — loud contact, high K·% caps the ceiling.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .273 YTD → .231 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %16.2%—+5.1% ▲vs his ~11.1% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.381)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.328 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.6 mphvs his norm —
68 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %55.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+15.9%vs his norm —
68 / 50 BBE
Barrel %16.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+8.2%vs his norm +5.1% ▲
68 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.381
lg avg .315 ▲+.066vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
119 / 160 PA
wOBA.374
lg avg .315 ▲+.059vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
119 / 200 PA
Strikeout %30.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+8.3%vs his norm —
119 / 60 PA
Walk %10.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.4%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
119 / 120 PA
BABIP.328
lg avg .295 ▲+.033vs his norm −.031 ▼BABIP is below his ~.359 norm — expect it to rise.
68 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %18.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+7.8%vs his norm —
119 / 50 PA
Chase %34.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.1%vs his norm —
119 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 16.2%→12.4%signal3 HR — Barrel% 16.2% (signal) tempered to career ~11.1% → projected 12.4%.
BABIP 0.328→0.284 regressednoise.231 AVG — BABIP 0.328 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.280 (xBA 0.278) → 0.284.
on-base + lineup25 R — his run rate over ~103 projected PA.
slugging + lineup16 RBI — his RBI rate over ~103 projected PA.
run rate / role8 SB — his steal rate (2 in 11 G) over ~103 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.