Is Chandler Simpson a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Chandler Simpson's rest-of-season outlook?

83.7 mph exit velo, zero barrels — contact can't carry .306 wOBA

553 PA · week 25

this weekSELL

last weekSELL-HIGH

Chandler Simpson

TB·LF

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

flipped from SELL-HIGH on September 10, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.262 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.66

ROSHR 0AVG .280R 5RBI 2SB 3

Simpson is a sell — contact skill below league, surface is a mirage.

His average exit velocity is 83.7 mph — more than five mph below league average — and his hard-hit rate sits at 12.9% against a league average of 40.0%. He barrels nothing. That is not a slump; it is a profile, and across 483 batted balls it is stable. His expected wOBA of .262 is .053 below league average, and his xwOBA has been stepping down, so the number is getting worse, not better. The .306 actual wOBA is not luck-fueled — his K% is 8.3% and his walk rate 4.3%, but his quality of contact is so poor that putting the ball in play rates as below league anyway. There is no luck story to sell. The production is below average. Sell. Even a deep-league streamer gets 0 HR / 5 R / 2 RBI / 3 SB / .280 AVG, so sell before that drag lands.

VS His Norm

Barrel %0.0%—0.0%vs his ~0.0% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.262 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo83.7 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−5.3 mphvs his norm —

483 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %12.9%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−27.1%vs his norm —

483 / 50 BBE

Barrel %0.0%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−8.0%vs his norm 0.0%

483 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.262

lg avg .315 ▼−.053vs his norm —

553 / 160 PA

wOBA.306

lg avg .315 ▼−.009vs his norm —

553 / 200 PA

Strikeout %8.3%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−13.7%vs his norm —

553 / 60 PA

Walk %4.3%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−4.2%vs his norm —

553 / 120 PA

BABIP.333

lg avg .295 ▲+.038vs his norm +.006 ▲BABIP is above his ~.327 norm — expect it to fall.

483 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %5.1%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−5.9%vs his norm —

553 / 50 PA

Chase %30.8%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.3%vs his norm —

553 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 0.0%→0.0%signal0 HR — Barrel% 0.0% (signal) held to career ~0.0% → projected 0.0%.

BABIP 0.333→0.315 regressednoise.280 AVG — BABIP 0.333 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.288 (xBA 0.258) → 0.315.

on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~43 projected PA.

slugging + lineup2 RBI — his RBI rate over ~43 projected PA.

run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (14 in 56 G) over ~43 projected PA.

rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons