Rest of Season Projection
ChandlerCategoryJac
0HR →14
45R ←33
18RBI →22
21SB ←2
.254AVG.255
Current Season
ChandlerCategoryJac
0HR →6
30R ←20
12RBI →13
14SB ←1
.284AVG ←.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chandler Simpson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.255 below league with no luck excuse
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Chandler Simpson: 0 HR / 45 R. Jac Caglianone: 14 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).