Rest of Season Projection
JacCategoryRyan
13HR ←7
29R29
19RBI →20
1SB →14
.269AVG ←.250
Current Season
JacCategoryRyan
6HR ←0
20R ←10
13RBI ←7
1SB →5
.242AVG →.284
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.359, +0.044 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.365 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Ryan Waldschmidt
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.289)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.403 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Jac Caglianone: 13 HR / 29 R. Ryan Waldschmidt: 7 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).