Rest of Season Projection
CeddanneCategoryRyan
9HR ←8
35R ←31
35RBI ←22
9SB →16
.247AVG →.269
Current Season
CeddanneCategoryRyan
5HR ←0
23R ←10
23RBI ←7
6SB ←5
.275AVG →.284
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ceddanne Rafaela
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.344 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.297 is 0.048 below the surface — regression coming
Ryan Waldschmidt
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.311)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ceddanne Rafaela: 9 HR / 35 R. Ryan Waldschmidt: 8 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).