Rest of Season Projection
CeddanneCategoryJakob
10HR ←8
38R →51
38RBI ←25
10SB →21
.249AVG ←.206
Current Season
CeddanneCategoryJakob
5HR ←3
23R →33
23RBI ←16
6SB →14
.275AVG ←.194
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ceddanne Rafaela
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.340 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.041 below the surface — regression coming
Jakob Marsee
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.297 below league with no luck excuse
Ceddanne Rafaela: 10 HR / 38 R. Jakob Marsee: 8 HR / 51 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).