MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of Luis Torrens
178 PA · week 17
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD

Luis Torrens

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from HOLD on July 18, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.271 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.64
ROSAVG .229HR 3R 13RBI 19SB 0

Torrens is a sell — below-league skill, no luck to blame.

His expected wOBA is .271 — .044 below the league average of .315 — and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA tracks near it, so there is no bad-luck story pulling the line down. The contact quality is weak: average exit velocity 87.6 mph, hard-hit rate 35.7%, and barrel rate 4.0%, all below league, and those samples are past stabilization. His xwOBA has been stepping down across the season, which means the trend is not on his side. There is no unstable metric inflating or depressing his line — this is simply the level he is at. Sell. 3 HR / 13 R / 19 RBI / 0 SB / .229 AVG: a drop-worthy line for a rotational-only catcher.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.0%−5.4%vs his ~9.4% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.271 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.6 mph
87.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.4 mphvs his norm —
126 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.7%
35.7%*
lg avg 40.0% −4.3%vs his norm —
126 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.0%
norm4.0%*
lg avg 8.0% −4.0%vs his norm −5.4%
126 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.271
believable since Jul 4.271*
lg avg .315 −.044vs his norm —
178 / 160 PA
wOBA.267
.267*
lg avg .315 −.048vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
178 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.3%
21.3%*
lg avg 22.0% −0.7%vs his norm —
178 / 60 PA
Walk %5.6%
5.6%*
lg avg 8.5% −2.9%vs his norm —
178 / 120 PA
BABIP.270
norm.270*
lg avg .295 −.025vs his norm −.012 BABIP is below his ~.282 normexpect it to rise.
126 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.8%
10.8%*
lg avg 11.0% −0.2%vs his norm —
178 / 50 PA
Chase %34.3%
34.3%*
lg avg 28.5% +5.8%vs his norm —
178 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.0%→7.3%signal3 HR — Barrel% 4.0% (signal) lifted to career ~9.4% → projected 7.3%.
BABIP 0.270→0.276 regressednoise.229 AVG — BABIP 0.270 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.278 (xBA 0.220) → 0.276.
on-base + lineup13 R — his run rate over ~151 projected PA.
slugging + lineup19 RBI — his RBI rate over ~151 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 36 G) over ~151 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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