week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Bradgley Rodriguez
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.29); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 23ERA 3.60WHIP 1.25W 0–0SV 0
Rodriguez is a hold — small sample, skill at league average.
ROS projects K 26 YTD → 23 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %22.2%—−2.1% ▼vs his ~24.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.29)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed31.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−9.0%vs his norm —
116 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed2.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.4%vs his norm —
116 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.237
lg avg .315 ▼−.078vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
167 / 200 TBF
xERA2.29
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.81vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
167 / 200 TBF
ERA2.23
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.87vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
40.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm −2.1% ▼
167 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm +0.8% ▲Walk % is above his ~7.6% norm — expect it to fall.
167 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.259
lg avg .295 ▼−.036vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
116 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.6%vs his norm —
167 / 60 TBF
Chase %31.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
167 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo98.1 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+4.1 mphvs his norm —
643 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.2%→23.3%signal23 K — K% 22.2% (signal) lifted to career ~24.3% → projected 23.3% over ~23 remaining IP.
xERA 2.29noise3.60 ERA — xERA 2.29 (noise) blended 7% skill / 93% league 3.70 at 28 IP.
BB% 8.4% + contactnoise1.25 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.290 gives a 1.33 skill WHIP, blended 7%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.60 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.