week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Hunter Gaddis
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.04); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 15ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 1–2SV 1–2
Gaddis is a hold — league average, nothing to exploit.
ROS projects K 12 YTD → 15 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %21.5%—+0.0% ▲vs his ~21.5% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.04)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed27.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−12.6%vs his norm —
96 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
96 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.312
lg avg .315 ▼−.003vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
135 / 200 TBF
xERA4.04
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.06vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
135 / 200 TBF
ERA2.64
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.46vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
30.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %21.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.5%vs his norm +0.0% ▲
135 / 70 TBF
Walk %6.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm −0.1% ▼Walk % is below his ~6.8% norm — expect it to rise.
135 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.312
lg avg .295 ▲+.017vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
96 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —
135 / 60 TBF
Chase %32.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —
135 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo95.1 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.1 mphvs his norm —
519 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 21.5%→21.5%signal15 K — K% 21.5% (signal) tempered to career ~21.5% → projected 21.5% over ~18 remaining…
xERA 4.04noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.04 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 14 IP.
BB% 6.7% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.297 gives a 1.30 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role1-2 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)1-2 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.