week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Hunter Gaddis
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (4.09); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.95WHIP 1.31W 0–0SV 0–0
Gaddis is a hold — average skill and nothing unstable underneath.
ROS projects K 12 YTD → 0 ROS, ERA 4.40 YTD → 3.95 ROS, WHIP 1.60 YTD → 1.31 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %8.6%—+1.8% ▲vs his ~6.8% career norm
- Strikeout %22.2%—+0.7% ▲vs his ~21.5% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.09)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed29.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.1%vs his norm —
175 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed7.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —
175 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.311
lg avg .315 ▼−.004vs his norm —
257 / 200 TBF
xERA4.09
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.01vs his norm —
257 / 200 TBF
ERA2.98
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.12vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
60.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm +0.7% ▲
257 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm +1.8% ▲
257 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.287
lg avg .295 ▼−.008vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
175 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.3%vs his norm —
257 / 60 TBF
Chase %33.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.0%vs his norm —
257 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo95.1 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.1 mphvs his norm —
983 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.2%→21.9%signal0 K — K% 22.2% (signal) tempered to career ~21.5% → projected 21.9% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.09signal3.95 ERA — xERA 4.09 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 14 IP.
BB% 8.6% + contactsignal1.31 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.293 gives a 1.35 skill WHIP, blended 65…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-0 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdrop3.95 ERA, 1.31 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.