MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Engraved portrait of Andruw Monasterio
327 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD

Andruw Monasterio

data as of September 11, 2026·week 25
flipped from HOLD on September 11, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.294 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59
ROSHR 0AVG .230R 3RBI 3SB 0

Monasterio is a sell — the bat is below league and it shows.

He is averaging 87.7 mph off the bat, a tick and a half under the league average, and his hard-hit rate of 31.9% is eight points below where it needs to be. That is the contact quality of a bat that will not carry a fantasy lineup. His expected wOBA is .294, .021 below league average, and with 327 plate appearances his sample is well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA of .302 is almost exactly the same, so there is no bad-luck story to wait out — the surface and the skill agree. The one thing moving is his expected wOBA, and it has been stepping down across the sample. The bat is what the numbers say it is. Sell. Deep-league-only 0 HR / 3 R / 3 RBI / 0 SB / .230 AVG is a waiver-stream tax, not a hold — cut him.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.7%+0.4%vs his ~6.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.294 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.7 mph
87.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.3 mphvs his norm —
238 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %31.9%
31.9%*
lg avg 40.0% −8.1%vs his norm —
238 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.7%
norm6.7%*
lg avg 8.0% −1.3%vs his norm +0.4%
238 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.294
believable since Jul 10.294*
lg avg .315 −.021vs his norm —
327 / 160 PA
wOBA.302
.302*
lg avg .315 −.013vs his norm —
327 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.0%
19.0%*
lg avg 22.0% −3.0%vs his norm —
327 / 60 PA
Walk %7.3%
7.3%*
lg avg 8.5% −1.2%vs his norm —
327 / 120 PA
BABIP.281
norm.281*
lg avg .295 −.014vs his norm −.040 BABIP is below his ~.321 normexpect it to rise.
238 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.7%
8.7%*
lg avg 11.0% −2.3%vs his norm —
327 / 50 PA
Chase %26.5%
26.5%*
lg avg 28.5% −2.0%vs his norm —
327 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.7%→6.5%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.7% (signal) tempered to career ~6.3% → projected 6.5%.
BABIP 0.281→0.290 regressednoise.230 AVG — BABIP 0.281 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.294 (xBA 0.236) → 0.290.
on-base + lineup3 R — his run rate over ~33 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~33 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 31 G) over ~33 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups