MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Andruw Monasterio
347 PA · week 31
this weekSELL
last weekHOLD

Andruw Monasterio

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.287 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.61
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Monasterio is a sell — the bat is short, and it's trending down.

His expected wOBA is .287, .028 below the league average of .315, and with 347 plate appearances he has cleared the sample where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA of .293 tracks right with it, so there is no bad-luck story dragging the line under his skill. The contact quality confirms it: 87.4 mph average exit velocity against a league average of 89.0, a 31.2% hard-hit rate well under 40.0%, and barrel rate below league. His xwOBA has been stepping down across the sample, so this is not a cold stretch waiting to break. He strikes out less than league average and chases less than league average, but making contact more often does not help when the contact is this weak. The level is the level. Sell. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG projection is waiver fodder — fade the skill and drop the tax.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.4%—+0.1% ▲vs his ~6.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.287 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.4 mph
87.4 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.6 mphvs his norm —
250 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %31.2%
31.2%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.8%vs his norm —
250 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.4%
norm6.4%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.6%vs his norm +0.1% ▲
250 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.287
believable since Jul 10.287*
lg avg .315 ▼−.028vs his norm —
347 / 160 PA
wOBA.293
.293*
lg avg .315 ▼−.022vs his norm —
347 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.6%
19.6%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.4%vs his norm —
347 / 60 PA
Walk %7.5%
7.5%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.0%vs his norm —
347 / 120 PA
BABIP.276
norm.276*
lg avg .295 ▼−.019vs his norm −.045 ▼BABIP is below his ~.321 norm — expect it to rise.
250 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.9%
8.9%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
347 / 50 PA
Chase %26.6%
26.6%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
347 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.4%→6.4%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.4% (signal) tempered to career ~6.3% → projected 6.4%.
BABIP 0.276→0.283 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.276 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.287 (xBA 0.230) → 0.283.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 31 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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