MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Yohan Ramírez
week 25
this weekBUY
last weekHOLD

Yohan Ramírez

PIT·P
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026
Buy stable xERA 3.44, 0.66 below league, production is earned; velocity stable and above league; add now.high 0.80
ROSK 6ERA 3.44WHIP 1.37W 0–1SV 0–0

Ramírez is a buy — his expected ERA is real and moving the right way.

His expected ERA is 3.44, and that number is 0.66 below the league average of 4.10. He has faced enough batters for that to be reliable, and it has been stepping down across the sample. The contact he allows backs it up: a 31.2% hard-hit rate against a 40.0% league average, a 4.8% barrel rate against 8.0%, and .288 expected wOBA allowed against .315 — all past the point where those numbers stabilize. His fastball is at 96.6 mph and climbing, which is where the strikeouts come from: 27.2%, well above the 22.0% league average. The walk rate is 12.8%, high enough to watch, but the skill here is earned, not lucky. Buy. Deep-league asset only: 6 K, 3.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP ROS — add where you need strikeout depth, not a must-add.

VS His Norm

  • Strikeout %27.2%—+3.2% ▲vs his ~24.0% career norm
  • Walk %12.8%—+1.5% ▲vs his ~11.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.44, 0.66 below league — production is earned
  • p_fastball_veloSIGNALvelocity stable and above league
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed31.2%
31.2%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.8%vs his norm —
189 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.8%
4.8%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
189 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.288
believable since Jun 28.288*
lg avg .315 ▼−.027vs his norm —
335 / 200 TBF
xERA3.44
3.44*
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.66vs his norm —
335 / 200 TBF
ERA3.14
3.14*
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.96vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
77.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %27.2%
norm27.2%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.2%vs his norm +3.2% ▲
335 / 70 TBF
Walk %12.8%
norm12.8%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.8%vs his norm +1.5% ▲
335 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.276
.276*
lg avg .295 ▼−.019vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
189 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.2%
12.2%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
335 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.3%
29.3%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
335 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.6 mph
96.6 mph*
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.6 mphvs his norm —
1294 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
K% 27.2%→26.0%signal6 K — K% 27.2% (signal) tempered to career ~24.0% → projected 26.0% over ~5 remaining IP.
xERA 3.44signal3.44 ERA — regresses up toward xERA 3.44 (signal): elite skill, but overperforming even…
BB% 12.8% + contactsignal1.37 WHIP — a 13% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.290 gives a 1.44 skill WHIP, blended 6…
run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-0 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups