98 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Sung-Mun Song
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.278); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .206R 12RBI 16SB 8
Song is a hold — league average, nothing to trade on.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 2 ROS, AVG .174 YTD → .206 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.278)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.5 mphvs his norm —
69 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %23.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−16.8%vs his norm —
69 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —
69 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.278
lg avg .315 ▼−.037vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
98 / 160 PA
wOBA.279
lg avg .315 ▼−.036vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
98 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.7%vs his norm —
98 / 60 PA
Walk %13.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.8%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
98 / 120 PA
BABIP.250
lg avg .295 ▼−.045vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
69 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
98 / 50 PA
Chase %25.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.1%vs his norm —
98 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.8%→6.2%signal2 HR — Barrel% 5.8% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 6.2%.
BABIP 0.250→0.243 regressednoise.206 AVG — BABIP 0.250 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.242 (xBA 0.199) → 0.243.
on-base + lineup12 R — his run rate over ~113 projected PA.
slugging + lineup16 RBI — his RBI rate over ~113 projected PA.
run rate / role8 SB — his steal rate (2 in 17 G) over ~113 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.