
Moisés Ballesteros
Ballesteros is a sell — the skill is below league.
His expected wOBA is .290, .025 below the league average of .315, and he has 348 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .275, even lower, so there is no bad-luck story propping the line up. His contact quality looks fine on the surface — 90.2 mph average exit velocity, 45.8% hard-hit rate — but the expected wOBA comes in below league anyway, and the trajectory is stepping down across the sample rather than climbing. The discipline numbers explain it: he swings at 37.3% of pitches outside the zone and swings and misses on 14.7% of them. The surface is not hiding anything. Sell. A .000 AVG / 0 HR ROS line is a pure drop — streaming-only, not a hold. Fade the production; deep-league waiver fodder at best.
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.290 below league with no luck excuse
5×5 ROS Outlook
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