175 PA · week 19
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Moisés Ballesteros
data as of August 5, 2026·week 19
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.310); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .214R 12RBI 16SB 0
Ballesteros is a hold — league-average skill, nothing unstable.
ROS projects HR 6 YTD → 2 ROS, AVG .231 YTD → .214 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.310)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.1 mphvs his norm —
122 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %46.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.7%vs his norm —
122 / 50 BBE
Barrel %9.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
122 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.310
lg avg .315 ▼−.005vs his norm —
175 / 160 PA
wOBA.303
lg avg .315 ▼−.012vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
175 / 200 PA
Strikeout %20.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
175 / 60 PA
Walk %9.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
175 / 120 PA
BABIP.259
lg avg .295 ▼−.036vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
122 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.2%vs his norm —
175 / 50 PA
Chase %35.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.7%vs his norm —
175 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 9.0%→8.8%signal2 HR — Barrel% 9.0% (signal) tempered to league ~8.0% → projected 8.8%.
BABIP 0.259→0.256 regressednoise.214 AVG — BABIP 0.259 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.256 (xBA 0.238) → 0.256.
on-base + lineup12 R — his run rate over ~117 projected PA.
slugging + lineup16 RBI — his RBI rate over ~117 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 48 G) over ~117 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.