Is Hunter Goodman a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Hunter Goodman's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

513 PA · week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekSELL-HIGH

Hunter Goodman

COL·C

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

flipped from SELL-HIGH on September 10, 2026

Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.323); strikeout rate 33% is stable and high, caps the floor; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60

ROSHR 1AVG .197R 7RBI 5SB 1

Goodman is a hold — league-average skill with a strikeout drag

His expected wOBA is .323, eight points above the league average of .315, but that gap is thin enough that he is not a player to chase. His contact quality is genuinely good: a 90.3 mph average exit velocity, a 45.5% hard-hit rate, and a 15.4% barrel rate, all above league and all past the sample thresholds where those numbers become reliable. The problem is his strikeout rate, 32.6% against a league average of 22.0%. That number is stable and it is high, and it caps his floor week to week. His actual wOBA of .360 sits above his expected mark, so there is no bad-luck story to buy into either. The skill is real but the strikeouts keep it average. Hold. 1 HR / 7 R / 5 RBI / 1 SB / .197 AVG is deep-league only — treat as a drop, streaming-only filler.

VS His Norm

Barrel %15.4%—+2.8% ▲vs his ~12.6% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.323)
k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo90.3 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.3 mphvs his norm —

299 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %45.5%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+5.5%vs his norm —

299 / 50 BBE

Barrel %15.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+7.4%vs his norm +2.8% ▲

299 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.323

lg avg .315 ▲+.008vs his norm —

513 / 160 PA

wOBA.360

lg avg .315 ▲+.045vs his norm —

513 / 200 PA

Strikeout %32.6%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+10.6%vs his norm —

513 / 60 PA

Walk %8.2%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —

513 / 120 PA

BABIP.298

lg avg .295 ▲+.003vs his norm +.005 ▲BABIP is above his ~.293 norm — expect it to fall.

299 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %19.2%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+8.2%vs his norm —

513 / 50 PA

Chase %40.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+11.7%vs his norm —

513 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 15.4%→14.3%signal1 HR — Barrel% 15.4% (signal) tempered to career ~12.6% → projected 14.3%.

BABIP 0.298→0.282 regressednoise.197 AVG — BABIP 0.298 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.272 (xBA 0.227) → 0.282.

on-base + lineup7 R — his run rate over ~43 projected PA.

slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~43 projected PA.

run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (3 in 55 G) over ~43 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons