
Hunter Goodman
Goodman is a hold — real power, capped by the strikeouts.
His expected wOBA is .321 — just six points above the league average of .315 — and with 574 plate appearances that number is fully stable. The contact quality underneath it is legitimately good: 89.8 mph average exit velocity, a 44.3% hard-hit rate, and 14.4% barrels, all above league and based on 348 batted balls. But the strikeouts are the story that keeps the line from running. He fans in 30.5% of plate appearances against a 22% league rate, and that number is both stable and climbing. The swing decisions back it up — an 18.6% swinging-strike rate and a 40.4% chase rate, both well above league. The power is real and the expected production is a touch above average; the whiffs put a hard ceiling on how far it climbs. Nothing here is unstable enough to sell and nothing enough to buy. Hold.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %14.4%—+1.8% ▲vs his ~12.6% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.321)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.