MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Anthony Volpe
246 PA · week 31
this weekSELL
last weekNO CALL

Anthony Volpe

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
new call as of October 26, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Volpe is a sell — the contact is short and the trend is down.

His expected wOBA of .291 sits .024 under the league average of .315, and with 246 plate appearances the number is past the point where it becomes reliable. His actual wOBA of .297 tracks right with it, so nothing lucky is holding the line up and nothing unlucky is holding it down. The contact quality is short too: 87.9 mph average exit velocity against 89.0 league, 37.0% hard-hit against 40.0%, and 4.8% barrels against 8.0% — all based on 165 batted balls, ample for each to be trusted. He is not chasing, at 25.7% against a 28.5% league average, and his 10.2% walk rate is a real skill, but that patience is producing walks, not damage. The expected wOBA has stepped down across the sample. There is no luck story to fall back on; this is the level he is at. Sell. The .000 AVG and 0 HR line is a waiver-streaming-only drag, so fade the production and move on.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.8%—−2.7% ▼vs his ~7.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.9 mph
believable since Jun 1187.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.1 mphvs his norm —
165 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.0%
37.0%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.0%vs his norm —
165 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.8%
norm4.8%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm −2.7% ▼
165 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.291
.291*
lg avg .315 ▼−.024vs his norm —
246 / 160 PA
wOBA.297
.297*
lg avg .315 ▼−.018vs his norm —
246 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.8%
22.8%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
246 / 60 PA
Walk %10.2%
10.2%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —
246 / 120 PA
BABIP.319
norm.319*
lg avg .295 ▲+.024vs his norm +.045 ▲BABIP is above his ~.274 norm — expect it to fall.
165 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.6%
11.6%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
246 / 50 PA
Chase %25.7%
25.7%*
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.8%vs his norm —
246 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.8%→6.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.8% (signal) lifted to career ~7.5% → projected 6.3%.
BABIP 0.319→0.288 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.319 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.280 (xBA 0.232) → 0.288.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (4 in 13 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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