158 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekNO CALL
Anthony Volpe
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
new call as of July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.296); BABIP 0.327 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .221R 26RBI 24SB 12
Volpe is a hold — league average, no edge either way.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .256 YTD → .221 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %3.9%—−3.6% ▼vs his ~7.5% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.296)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.2 mphvs his norm —
102 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %33.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.7%vs his norm —
102 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.1%vs his norm −3.6% ▼
102 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.296
lg avg .315 ▼−.019vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
158 / 160 PA
wOBA.306
lg avg .315 ▼−.009vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
158 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —
158 / 60 PA
Walk %12.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —
158 / 120 PA
BABIP.327
lg avg .295 ▲+.032vs his norm +.053 ▲BABIP is above his ~.274 norm — expect it to fall.
102 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
158 / 50 PA
Chase %24.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.8%vs his norm —
158 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.9%→6.3%signal3 HR — Barrel% 3.9% (signal) lifted to career ~7.5% → projected 6.3%.
BABIP 0.327→0.287 regressednoise.221 AVG — BABIP 0.327 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.281 (xBA 0.233) → 0.287.
on-base + lineup26 R — his run rate over ~153 projected PA.
slugging + lineup24 RBI — his RBI rate over ~153 projected PA.
run rate / role12 SB — his steal rate (4 in 13 G) over ~153 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.