Is Tyler Heineman a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Tyler Heineman's rest-of-season outlook?

82 mph exit velo, 11.9% hard-hit — no contact foundation.

200 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Tyler Heineman

LAA·C

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.236 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.71

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Heineman is a sell — the contact is weak and the sample is stable.

He is averaging 82.0 mph off the bat, seven miles per hour below league average, and 159 batted balls is well past the point where that number becomes reliable. His hard-hit rate is 11.9% against a league average of 40.0%, and his barrel rate is 0.6% against 8.0% — there is no power hiding in this profile. His expected wOBA is .236, and his actual wOBA is even lower at .204, so there is no bad luck dragging the line down; the results match the skill. His strikeout rate is a manageable 15%, but he walks just 2.5% of the time and chases 42.9% of pitches, well above the 28.5% league mark. He is hitting the ball softer than almost anyone and giving himself no help at the plate. Sell. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / .000 AVG line is a streaming-only placeholder — drop and move the roster spot to a catcher with a real window.

VS His Norm

Barrel %0.6%—−2.0% ▼vs his ~2.6% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.236 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo82.0 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−7.0 mphvs his norm —

159 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %11.9%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−28.1%vs his norm —

159 / 50 BBE

Barrel %0.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−7.4%vs his norm −2.0% ▼

159 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.236

lg avg .315 ▼−.079vs his norm —

200 / 160 PA

wOBA.204

lg avg .315 ▼−.111vs his norm —

200 / 200 PA

Strikeout %15.0%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−7.0%vs his norm —

200 / 60 PA

Walk %2.5%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−6.0%vs his norm —

200 / 120 PA

BABIP.205

lg avg .295 ▼−.090vs his norm −.113 ▼BABIP is below his ~.318 norm — expect it to rise.

159 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.0%vs his norm —

200 / 50 PA

Chase %42.9%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+14.4%vs his norm —

200 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 0.6%→1.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 0.6% (signal) lifted to career ~2.6% → projected 1.7%.

BABIP 0.205→0.251 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.205 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.263 (xBA 0.214) → 0.251.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 30 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons