Is Zach Agnos a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Zach Agnos's rest-of-season outlook?

14.9% strikeout rate can't hide a 5.22 xERA.

week 25

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Zach Agnos

COL·P

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026

Sell stable xERA 5.22 +1.12 vs league with no luck excuse; strikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league, limits the ceiling; move on.high 0.89

ROSK 5ERA 4.69WHIP 1.40W 0–0SV 0–1

Agnos is a sell — below-league skill with no luck excuse.

His expected ERA is 5.22, more than a full run above the league average of 4.10, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. The reason the ceiling is low is his strikeout rate: 14.9%, well below the 22% league average, and it is stepping down across the sample while matching his career baseline. He walks 7.9% of batters, right at league average, so the strikeouts are the whole story. His xwOBA allowed of .348 is 33 points above league. There is no suppressed BABIP-against propping up an ugly ERA, and there is no bad-luck story dragging down a good one. The skill is below league and the sample is past the point where it stabilizes. Sell. 5 K, 4.69 ERA, 1.40 WHIP is a drag — drop him and stream the roster spot instead.

VS His Norm

Walk %7.9%—−1.8% ▼vs his ~9.7% career norm
Strikeout %14.9%—−0.0% ▼vs his ~14.9% career norm

Drivers

xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.22 +1.12 vs league with no luck excuse
p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Hard-Hit % Allowed40.9%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —

269 / 50 BBE

Barrel % Allowed8.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —

269 / 60 BBE

xwOBA Allowed.348

lg avg .315 ▲+.033vs his norm —

355 / 200 TBF

xERA5.22

lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.12vs his norm —

355 / 200 TBF

ERA5.60

lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.50vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.

80.3 / 200 IP

Strikeout %14.9%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−7.1%vs his norm −0.0% ▼

355 / 70 TBF

Walk %7.9%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.1%vs his norm −1.8% ▼

355 / 170 TBF

BABIP Against.309

lg avg .295 ▲+.014vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.

269 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.0%vs his norm —

355 / 60 TBF

Chase %33.0%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.5%vs his norm —

355 / 60 TBF

Fastball Velo94.4 mph

lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.4 mphvs his norm —

1311 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

K% 14.9%→14.9%signal5 K — K% 14.9% (signal) held to career ~14.9% → projected 14.9% over ~7 remaining IP.

xERA 5.22signal4.69 ERA — xERA 5.22 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 37 IP.

BB% 7.9% + contactsignal1.40 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.300 gives a 1.49 skill WHIP, blended 65…

run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.

role (middle)0-1 SV — role: middle, in the save mix only situationally.

rosterdrop4.69 ERA, 1.40 WHIP

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons