Is Kyle Bradish a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Kyle Bradish's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Kyle Bradish

BAL·P

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Hold · leans sell skill near league average (4.26); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60

ROSK 13ERA 4.20WHIP 1.42W 0–1SV 0

Bradish is a hold — league average with no luck pulling either way.

His expected ERA is 4.26, essentially level with the league average of 4.10, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. The same goes for his expected wOBA allowed: .318, against a league average of .315. Nothing underneath is unstable. His strikeout rate is 21.5%, a tick under league, and his swinging-strike rate is 10.7%, basically league. The one number that stands out is his walk rate, 10.4% against a league average of 8.0%, and that is a real drag. His xERA has been stepping up across the sample, but it has only climbed to average, not past it. The profile is what it is. Hold. 13 K and a 4.20 ERA the rest of the way is streaming-only fodder — hold, but the wire beckons.

VS His Norm

Strikeout %21.5%—−3.9% ▼vs his ~25.4% career norm
Walk %10.4%—+1.9% ▲vs his ~8.5% career norm

Drivers

xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.26)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Hard-Hit % Allowed38.1%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —

441 / 50 BBE

Barrel % Allowed8.2%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.2%vs his norm —

441 / 60 BBE

xwOBA Allowed.318

lg avg .315 ▲+.003vs his norm —

652 / 200 TBF

xERA4.26

lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.16vs his norm —

652 / 200 TBF

ERA3.91

lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.19vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.

152 / 200 IP

Strikeout %21.5%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.5%vs his norm −3.9% ▼

652 / 70 TBF

Walk %10.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.4%vs his norm +1.9% ▲

652 / 170 TBF

BABIP Against.307

lg avg .295 ▲+.012vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.

441 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %10.7%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —

652 / 60 TBF

Chase %30.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —

652 / 60 TBF

Fastball Velo94.2 mph

lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.2 mphvs his norm —

2573 / 50 PITCHES

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

K% 21.5%→22.4%signal13 K — K% 21.5% (signal) lifted to career ~25.4% → projected 22.4% over ~13 remaining IP.

xERA 4.26signal4.20 ERA — xERA 4.26 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 4.10 at 65 IP.

BB% 10.4% + contactsignal1.42 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.302 gives a 1.48 skill WHIP, blended 6…

run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.

role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.

rosterdrop13 K ROS, 4.20 ERA

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons