MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 16, 2026
Portrait of Kyle Bradish
Kyle Bradish
BAL · P
Change to
Portrait of Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kyle Bradish.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Spencer Arrighetti’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Kyle Bradish wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Spencer Arrighetti wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kyle Bradish
94.0
Spencer Arrighetti
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kyle Bradish
11.3%
Spencer Arrighetti
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kyle Bradish
23.3%
Spencer Arrighetti
22.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kyle Bradish
30.4%
Spencer Arrighetti
26.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kyle Bradish
36.0%
Spencer Arrighetti
31.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kyle Bradish
8.1%
Spencer Arrighetti
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kyle Bradish
.303
Spencer Arrighetti
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kyle Bradish
26.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.44
3.79
Spencer Arrighetti
26.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.34
4.82
WHIPlower is better
Kyle Bradish
1.011.54
now 1.42
1.39
Spencer Arrighetti
1.011.54
now 1.13
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kyle Bradish
4073.80
now 65
61
Spencer Arrighetti
4073.80
now 43
54
Winshigher is better
Kyle Bradish
.00016
now 3
24
Spencer Arrighetti
.00016
now 7
612

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyKyle Bradish — buy.conf 0.69
Sell HighSpencer Arrighetti — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.93
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