MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 10, 2026
Portrait of Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Nick Martinez wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Spencer Arrighetti wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Nick Martinez
92.9
Spencer Arrighetti
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Nick Martinez
9.1%
Spencer Arrighetti
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Nick Martinez
15.0%
Spencer Arrighetti
22.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Nick Martinez
32.4%
Spencer Arrighetti
26.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Nick Martinez
33.1%
Spencer Arrighetti
31.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Nick Martinez
7.4%
Spencer Arrighetti
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Nick Martinez
.333
Spencer Arrighetti
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Nick Martinez
26.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.62
4.48
Spencer Arrighetti
26.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.34
4.82
WHIPlower is better
Nick Martinez
.9901.53
now 1.11
1.26
Spencer Arrighetti
.9901.53
now 1.13
1.41

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Nick Martinez
4066.20
now 41
43
Spencer Arrighetti
4066.20
now 43
59
Winshigher is better
Nick Martinez
.00017
now 5
37
Spencer Arrighetti
.00017
now 7
613

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighNick Martinez — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Sell HighSpencer Arrighetti — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.93
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