Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryNick
110K ←71
3.98ERA ←4.13
1.35WHIP →1.29
4–9W →5–12
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategoryNick
65K ←41
3.18ERA →1.62
1.13WHIP →1.11
4W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael King
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.251 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.98 is 0.80 above the ERA — regression coming
Nick Martinez
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.15)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Michael King: 110 K / 3.98 ERA. Nick Martinez: 71 K / 4.13 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).