MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 23, 2026
Lance McCullers Jr.
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Lance McCullers Jr. wins 2 (K, ERA); Nick Martinez wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
91.6
Nick Martinez
92.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
11.6%
Nick Martinez
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
25.0%
Nick Martinez
15.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
27.3%
Nick Martinez
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
50.5%
Nick Martinez
33.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
8.6%
Nick Martinez
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.330
Nick Martinez
.333
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.86
4.18
Nick Martinez
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.62
4.44
WHIPlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.9401.70
now 1.53
1.34
Nick Martinez
.9401.70
now 1.11
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
4097
now 43
81
Nick Martinez
4097
now 41
55
Winshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.00011.80
now 2
25
Nick Martinez
.00011.80
now 5
49

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLance McCullers Jr. — hold.conf 0.55
SellNick Martinez — sell.conf 0.71
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