Rest of Season Projection
J.T.CategoryLance
78K →92
3.80ERA ←4.16
1.35WHIP →1.34
3–6W3–6
0SV0
Current Season
J.T.CategoryLance
52K ←43
2.87ERA ←6.86
1.14WHIP ←1.53
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
J.T. Ginn
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.242 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.80 is 0.65 above the ERA — regression coming
Lance McCullers Jr.
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.46)
J.T. Ginn: 78 K / 3.80 ERA. Lance McCullers Jr.: 92 K / 4.16 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).