Rest of Season Projection
LanceCategoryRyan
92K ←57
4.16ERA ←4.19
1.34WHIP →1.31
3–6W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
LanceCategoryRyan
43K ←19
6.86ERA →4.85
1.53WHIP →1.31
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Lance McCullers Jr.
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.46)
Ryan Feltner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.240 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.73 is 0.53 above the ERA — regression coming
Lance McCullers Jr.: 93 K / 4.16 ERA. Ryan Feltner: 58 K / 4.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).