Rest of Season Projection
JackCategoryRyan
106K ←60
4.40ERA →4.19
1.35WHIP →1.30
3–6W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
JackCategoryRyan
74K ←19
4.34ERA ←4.85
1.33WHIP →1.31
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jack Leiter
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.56 +0.46 vs league with no luck excuse
Ryan Feltner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.242 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.66 is 1.44 above the ERA — regression coming
Jack Leiter: 106 K / 4.40 ERA. Ryan Feltner: 60 K / 4.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).