Rest of Season Projection
JackCategoryWalbert
106K ←80
4.40ERA →3.30
1.35WHIP ←1.45
3–6W3–6
0SV0
Current Season
JackCategoryWalbert
74K ←41
4.34ERA →2.44
1.33WHIP ←1.38
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jack Leiter
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.56 +0.46 vs league with no luck excuse
Walbert Ureña
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.30 is 0.62 above the ERA — regression coming
Jack Leiter: 106 K / 4.40 ERA. Walbert Ureña: 80 K / 3.30 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

